How to Buy Election Insurance

How Hedging your Fears can hopefully buy you some piece of mind

Adam Brownell


**Disclaimer: Politics is inherently a controversial topic, and Politics + Math don’t usually mix well. Please realize this is a casual article, not a treatise on political science…just thought it was fun idea to talk about!**

You don’t need to be following American Politics closely to know that last November’s U.S Presidential Election was full of strong emotions. Both candidates garnered such loathing that opposition on both sides descried them as a the beginning of the end of America as we know it.

As usual, it is a hotly contested battle for the Oval Office. Photo by Srikanta H. U on Unsplash

Given that both sides fear the consequences of their candidate losing, it is important to ask the question

How can I feel better about an important Election?

It is clear from a quick survey I conducted that most American respondents have very strong opinions about the 2020 Presidential candidate they are not voting for:

Over 75% of respondents expressed a hatred for the opposing candidate

Responses to the Question “How much do you DISLIKE the candidate you are NOT voting for?” Answers were mapped to both a numerical value and a qualitative description (shown). The answers are skewed towards dislike based on responses, rather than options — many of the positive descriptors were never selected… visual made by author

What’s powerful about these responses is the dislike & hate goes beyond policy disagreements. It seems a significant portion of American voters disliked the opposing candidate as a person. And sadly, this aligned with my personal experience about how difficult it is to have a conversation about politics in this election — even just choosing a side has major social implications (47.5% of respondents expressed that their dislike of the candidate effected their opinion of their supporters)

And if you are feeling similar emotions (which is likely) it’s hard to be comfortable given how close the polls were. There is a lot at stake for something that has, from most recent polls prior to voting, a 50/50 odds. Who would want to wager so much on a coin toss?

image created by author